Netanyahu's strategy to provoke regional tensions and target Iran has led to failures in Gaza and heightened security risks, straining Israel's position and Western alliances.

Netanyahu's Focus on Iran

Netanyahu's long-standing goal has been to provoke conflict in the region, primarily by positioning Iran as Israel's primary adversary. His approach involves equating groups like Hamas and Hezbollah to Iran's military proxies, pushing the narrative that conflicts with these groups are extensions of a larger war against Iran.

Israel's Military Failures and Risks

After 10 months of heavy bombardment in Gaza, Israel has failed to dismantle Hamas, raising questions about its ability to counter Hezbollah, which is better armed and poses a greater threat. The possibility of a broader regional war involving multiple fronts is a significant risk, one that threatens not just Israel but also Western interests, particularly in light of previous foreign policy failures in the Middle East.

U.S. Policy and Netanyahu's Influence

U.S. foreign policy, particularly under Biden, has been criticized for its unwavering support of Israel, even as this stance conflicts with broader American interests, such as de-escalating tensions in the Middle East to focus on China. Netanyahu's policies have put him at odds with even his own defense minister, as well as U.S. officials, who have increasingly recognized the futility of a military solution to the conflict.

The Broader Impact on Israel and the Region

Netanyahu's actions have not only destabilized the region but have also threatened Israel's own security and standing. His approach mirrors the overreach of past colonial powers, risking a catastrophic collapse similar to those faced by France in Algeria or South Africa under apartheid. The ongoing conflict has turned into an existential struggle for Palestinians, further isolating Israel on the global stage.

David Hearst is co-founder and editor-in-chief of Middle East Eye. He is a commentator and speaker on the region and analyst on Saudi Arabia. He was the Guardian's foreign leader writer, and was correspondent in Russia, Europe, and Belfast. He joined the Guardian from The Scotsman, where he was education correspondent.